Monday, July 02, 2007

MLB Conspiracy Sneaks Bonds Onto 2007 All-Star Game Starting Lineup

Alfonso Soriano must be pissed. Despite leading Barry Bonds by a comfortable margin with days to go in voting, pulled strings to get Barry Bonds to leapfrog him for the final slot.

Bonds, nearing 43 years old and having a historic year as the left fielder of the Giants, concluded action on Sunday with 750 homers, just five behind Hank Aaron's all-time MLB mark of 755, and will be starting for the NL in his home park. He overtook Alfonzo Soriano of the Cubs in the late balloting to snare the third and final starting NL outfield spot by 122,878 votes.

So let's do the math. On June 25, Russell Martin was leading Paul Lo Duca for the NL Catcher spot. For over a month, the Dodgers had an all-out campaign focused solely on Martin to get him the final spot. And in the final three-day push, Martin got an extra 741K votes to solidify his slot.

Bonds trailed Soriano by 122K votes on June 25. With three days to go, he turned that deficit into a 120K vote lead for the final slot. This is a swing of 242K votes, or about a third as many total votes as Martin, the focus of entire campaign from the #2 most populous city in the US, received during the same time period. Highly unlikely.

Of all the votes cast in the final three days for Bonds or Soriano (almost two million votes in total), Bonds would have had to have received 56% of the total votes. This gets a little squishy because an individual could cast a vote for both players on the same ballot. But think of it this way: For every three Soriano votes, Bonds would have had to have four votes for himself.

Chicago has a population of 2.8 million. San Francisco has a population of 744 thousand, roughly one-fourth the size of Chicago. And yet Bonds outpolled Soriano. Uh-huh.

If you think Bonds legitimately got his way onto the 2007 All-Star Game starting lineup, you have got to be kidding me. MLB snuck him onto the starting lineup because it couldn't afford to have the questions surrounding a San Francisco-based All-Star Game. And I'm not the only one who thinks the fix was on. didn't have Bonds on its starting lineup. But they're following the mlb line in lockstep as a wonderful, feel-good story. Yeah, right.

UPDATE: John Donovan over at can't believe the vote count, either. Might there be a man behind the curtain, John? Or are you still putting teeth under your pillow?


Pedro Guerrero said...

those san francisco ballots and ballot boxes are juiced...just like BB himself.

Unknown said...

>Chicago has a population of 2.8 million. San >Francisco has a population of 744 thousand, >roughly one-fourth the size of Chicago. And yet >Bonds outpolled Soriano. Uh-huh.

Not that I don't think there is a massive conspiracy going on...but the Bay Area has a population of ~7M while greater Chicagoland is ~10M. More than a quarter...

Still...I don't think MLB liked the idea of an all-star game in SF without Barry in left field.

Steve Sax said...

Mathew, good point on using the MSA rather than the city limits themselves. Fair.

I'd add that San Franciscans would have been too busy to vote for Barry while sipping on their Chardonnays and marching for the environment this past week. But even I would concede that SF's interent/broadband/wifi penetration probably would have yielded a healthy amount of voting.

Even for fans supporting a last-place team.

Anonymous said...

A guy called into KNBR 680 AM on Monday afternoon and described how he and 40 of his friends rigged the online voting at in favor of Bonds. He said they exploited the system and were able to cast about 600,000 votes for Bonds in the final couple of days. Can't say whether it's 100 percent true, but the guy sounded very, very believable.

Steve Sax said...

Giants fans never cease to amaze me--their blind support for Bonds, against evidence and rational judgment, is sad. I can only hope for Barry's knees to blow out during the All-Star Game.