Dan Haren (8-5, 4.06) vs. Jesse Hahn (4-2, 2.34).
In his last outing, Haren was all wet. Following up a 7.0 IP, one-hit wonder against Cleveland, Haren went out there July 5 at Coors Field and shit the bed, yielding 10 H and 8 ER over 5.1 IP. Haren's ERA continues to steadily rise this year, but this outing alone accelerated this rising trend by almost 0.50 runs, his biggest game-to-game increase since early April. This does not give us a lot of reassurance.
Meanwhile, Hahn's ERA is going in the opposite direction: downward. Hahn made his major league debut this year on June 3, and the Pirates shellacked him: 3.2 IP with 6 H and 4 ER, giving him an ERA of 9.82. But four consecutive winning starts later, Hahn's ERA sat at 1.95, with his last outing (7.0 IP, 3 ER in a loss to the Giants) showing a slight blip back upward. Which means Hahn has four wins in his last five starts (and no NDs across six starts). So if Haren is wet, will Hahn be super-dry tonight?
At the very least, we need to make sure this isn't a complete game from the Padres' starter. Not aiming very high, I know. But the thought of a smug Hahn solo would be too much to bear.