Sunday, June 30, 2013

Dodgers Fantasy Baseball Midseason Update

Halfway through the season Eric Karabell of ESPN has some thoughts about whom to buy and sell, and how he speculates Carl Crawford will be moved (link insider only):

Buy low: Matt Kemp and Zack Greinke are the obvious choices, but I must admit, I don't expect big things. Keep owning them, of course, but I wouldn't trade a top-20 hitter or pitcher for either one. See if you can still get Hanley Ramirez from someone waiting for his next DL stint.

Sell high: Well, unless you think this new awesome Cuban outfielder is going to hit .400 all season, see what Yasiel Puig is worth on the open market. I will admit his minor league days are obviously over. Try to move Carl Crawford; I bet the Dodgers will try to.

Stat to watch: The walk rate for Puig is worth a look, and check the strikeout rate for lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu. It went way down in May after a stellar April, and that doesn't bode well for the second half.

I was wrong: To think anything Dee Gordon was doing at Triple-A would translate to the bigs. Things could change, of course, but I'm skeptical now. And while there was never a debate Kenley Jansen was better than Brandon League, the latter's performance was really disappointing. What, Kevin Gregg can thrive and League can't?

I was right: To go nowhere near Chad Billingsley and Josh Beckett. Should have said no to Ted Lilly and Chris Capuano as well.