Thursday, August 21, 2008

A Look at Remaining Strength of Schedule

From "How schedules will impact playoff contenders" by Dayn Perry at FOXSports.com:

Baseball's stretch drive is upon us, and when you've got so many hotly fought races going on, strength of schedule takes on an acute importance.

In MLB, you don't see as much variance among the schedules as you do in the NFL, but there's still enough to make a difference -- sometimes a pennant-deciding difference. So to get an idea of which teams have the easier or harder road going forward, let's have a look at each contender's remaining schedule. [...]

Diamondbacks

Remaining Opponents' Avg. Win%: 0.472
Home Games Left/Road Games Left: 20/16
Biggest Series: 9/5-9/7 @Dodgers

The Snakes will play the Dodgers six more times this season, with the final three-game set going down in L.A. Overall, give 'Zona the edge in schedule. The Dodgers play inferior opponents, but the home-road splits favor Arizona by a mile.

Dodgers

Remaining Opponents' Avg. Win%: 0.444
Home Games Left/Road Games Left: 12/23
Biggest Series: 9/5-9/7 Diamondbacks

As you can see, the Dodgers play almost two-thirds of their remaining games on the road, and this season they're just 26-32 away from Chavez Ravine. The mitigating factor, however, is that the rest of the way no contender plays an easier slate of teams than the Dodgers do. In rough terms, it's like playing the Reds every day from this point forward. Still, that's a lot of road games ...

(Hat tip: Rob at 6-4-2.)

Can't Stop Ozomatli

Time for some positive energy. L.A.'s own Ozomatli kicks ass. And thanks to Ozomatli, the Dodgers now have a modern anthem of their own.

From a Dodgers press release:

The Dodgers have made "Can't Stop the Blue" a part of their music montage after they win at Dodger Stadium, immediately following Randy Newman's classic, "I Love L.A."

Go Dodgers Go!

Game 127 Thread: August 21 vs. Rockies, 12p

Jorge De La Rosa (6-6, 6.16) vs Derek Lowe (9-10, 3.99).

COMMENTS: Sr egdo dog ni wewyl! Lufe poh os ar, eyp parc y tterp. "Asah as," or aled. Tah tt sa? Eltae! Es isy awy naem, d lot sb, oj nev. Ests aly m-foh cae task lofr. Heh tt ahws ta htt sa el tala noisse for pd ere. Dis nocsy. Awla tn, sisdrawk cab "gnik latgn," itte. "Skrow ani." Ta htdec I.T.O.N. e vitub sgn I teem ta, yas ot luft. Hg isni (gni hto nevah), I neh w krow tag ni htral imis. Aod is draw k cab gn it; irw ek ilk cim. Mig ah tiwt cafta. H tdu olc oty rtlliw ios ya. Sot luft hgis-nih cum evah, tnod iy leta nut rof null ew!

loneygirl7

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

New PCS Rankings: It's Finally Happened

After a record eight consecutive puzzles at the top, QuadSevens (right) cedes his #1 ranking to Jose

Current
Rank
Previous
Player (Wins)
PCS Tour
Points
1
2
jose (2)
384
2
1
quadsevens (2)
376
3
3
orel
242
4
6
fanerman
227
5
T-4
steve (1)
215
6
T-4
loney fan (1)
200
7
T-16
berkowit28 (1)
112
8
11
stolenmonkey86
110
9
7
sax/karros
97
10
8
gil garnesh
90

Others receiving votes: erin 75, karina 72, cigarcow 62, dusto magnifico 52, daniel 50, mike scoscia's t.i. 37, neeebs 30

Game 126 Thread: August 20 vs. Rockies, 7:10p

Jeff Francis (3-8, 5.74) vs. Chad Billingsley (12-9, 3.10).

COMMENTS: Ugh, so last night's game was a little ugly. Kuroda looked shaky at the start of the game, our mighty bullpen started to show some kinks in the armor, and our bats fizzled with men in scoring position (13 men LOB). What do we need? Our ACE to come in and right the ship. I'm sure that Bills told Joe Torre the same thing that Ace Ventura said: "I'm ready to go in coach, just give me a chance!" We need the next two wins to salvage the series. Plus Orel and I will be at the game tonight! Let's Go Blue!

There Can Be Only One Josh

Ladies and gentlemen, it's the Clash of the Joshes! Rawitch vs. Suchon! Public relations vs. reportage & radio! In case you haven't been following this saga, the Dodgers' official charity, ThinkCure, is auctioning off various Dodger-related experiences as part of their recent radio/telethon. And you can bid to spend time with one of two fellas named Josh, who have a friendly wager:

IN THE BLUE CORNER, WEARING THE BLUE TRUNKS
Dodgers Vice President of Public Relations and Broadcasting
Josh Rawitch
IN THE OTHER BLUE CORNER, ALSO WEARING BLUE TRUNKS
KABC Dodger reporter/DodgerTalk co-host/Coca-Cola Trivia Quiz host
Josh Suchon

Let's get ready to...engage in a friendly competition that will raise money for cancer awareness and research!

***

Josh Rawitch's auction:

ThinkCure Auction: Inside the Dodgers

Great for aspiring sportswriters. Spend a day at the stadium with Josh Rawitch, the key behind-the-scenes link between the players and the press. See how game-day stats are assembled, how to handle questions from reporters on deadlines. Experience the fast-paced excitement of Major League Baseball from the inside.


The lowdown from Rawitch himself:

Here are a few of the things I've mentioned that are part of my typical day, in addition to the interaction with numerous players on the team:

- Meeting Joe Torre and taking part in his pregame media session

- Standing on the field at Dodger Stadium for the National Anthem

- A private tour of the stadium, including areas that the public tour doesn't go (underground batting cages, player's lounge, Dodger offices, press box, broadcast booths, DodgerVision booth...remember, as an employee, my badge allows you to goes places where "the other Josh" can't go!!) :)

- And of course, while I can't make any 100 percent guarantees, I'm going to quietly mention that just about every day of my job requires me to interact with all of the Dodger broadcasters, including Vin Scully, Jaime Jarrin, Rick Monday, Charley Steiner, Fernando Valenzuela, Pepe Yniguez and Steve Lyons. You might take note that the package to visit Vin in his booth is now over $3,000 while this one is still under $500.

UPDATE, THURS.:

- Your name in the daily notes that are distributed to the media for a one-of-a-kind souvenir

And the latest...

After the game, my job includes opening the clubhouse to the media but there's a 10-minute cooling off period where really the only people allowed in that area are club employees and the actual team. So, if we win, it's a celebration that no fans ever get to see. If we lose, it tends to be a much more quiet atmosphere and while I can't promise a win, I can promise that you won't forget the experience.

UPDATE, FRI:

The latest thing that is included in the Inside the Dodgers package is a behind-the-scenes look at the Dodger archives, where you never know what you might find. Perhaps a photo with the World Series trophy or running into a Dodger legend from the team's history. No, we don't store them in the archives! But they're in the offices almost every day and we see them all the time, something "the other Josh" can't lay claim to.

***

Josh Suchon's auction:

ThinkCure Auction: Be a Cub Sports Reporter!

Experience the excitement of covering baseball with 790 KABC's Dodger reporter, Josh Suchon. You'll be a cub sports reporter for the day, following Josh throughout Dodger Stadium including on the field and in the press box, meeting up with his sidekick Ken Levine as they prepare for the post-game DodgerTalk program. You'll get a first hand perspective on the game from experienced baseball reporters and enjoy the behind-the-scenes excitement of producing a sports program!


The lowdown from Suchon himself:

Among the perks for the winner:

* will be my contestant for the Coca-Cola Trivia Challenge on the field after the sixth inning

* gets to hang around my co-host Ken Levine, and ask him any question about what it was like writing Cheers

* gets to be part of pre-game media interview scrum with both managers

* access to both clubhouses before the game

* watch batting practice on the field

* watch the game from the press box with myself and ken

* eat in the media dining room (unlimited desserts)

* watch ken and i do "post game dodger talk" from the back of the press box (and as long as the person hasn't totally annoyed us, he/she will get to talk on the radio)

* meet Vin Scully, Charlie Steiner, Rick Monday, Jaime Jarrin, Fernando and any other broadcasters at that game. Hey, the auction item to meet Vin is at $3,000 and you'll get to do that as part of winning my auction.

There's probably more. But that's all I can [think of for] now.

***

THE SCORECARD

JOSH RAWITCH: $440
JOSH SUCHON: $650


Bidding ends Sunday, August 24, so there's still time to decide which Josh will reign supreme!


top photo by Alex Russell/fredericksburg.com

We Have a Winner!

46,687 ÷ 13 = 3,591 R 4 which means Neeebs wins the Puzzle Participation Lottery!

At least that's what our mathematicians tell us, and none of the seven Sons is confident enough in his quant skills to argue. Heck, we sometimes can't even count to three properly when spelling Neeebs' name (my apologies). In anycase, we hereby declare Neeebs the winner. Congrats!

Neeebs, please send us via email your mailing address, and we'll let folks know what the prize itself is a bit later (keep your expectations in check - Russell Martin was not available for a personal hitting lesson at the batting cages. We're checking with Sweeney's agent...)

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

More Comedy Than Tragedy at Charity Bowling Event

Dodgers hold Bowling Extravaganza (Dodgers.com)

photo by Jon SooHoo/Dodgers

Game 125 Thread: August 19 vs. Rockies, 7:10p

Ubaldo Jimenez (8-11, 3.94) vs. Hiroki Kuroda (7-8, 3.88).

COMMENTS: Hopefully the momentum from the "walk off" home run by Andre Ethier on Monday will carry into tonight's game with the bats still being hot. With this race between the Dodgers (Derek Zoolander) and the D'Backs (Hansel), we might need a walk off of our own as we head toward the end of the season. But I think we now have the bats to pull it out and we will overcome our fear of "turning left" and round the bases a few more times. In fact some of Derek Zoolander's poses can be seen in some of the players: "Le Tigre" = Andre Ethier, "Ferrari" = Matt Kemp, "Magnum" = Manny Ramirez. And of course there is "Blue Steel" which I will let you all decide who that one exemplifies - maybe the whole team? Go Blue!

Puzzle Prize Lottery!

In case you haven't noticed, we at SoSG like games. And (simple) math. Here's a little more of each for you.

As promised, everyone who submitted a solution attempt for the Nostradamus puzzle, correct or not, has been entered into a lottery to receive a Dodger-related prize item, courtesy of SoSG (SoSG Sax, to be specific). Also as promised, the manner in which the winner is selected will be both random and transparent. So here's how it works. First, the thirteen people who submitted an attempt, in rough but not necessarily exact chronological order of their submissions:

   0. Karina
   1. Mike Scioscia's T.I.
   2. QuadSevens
   3. Steve
   4. Neeebs
   5. Berkowit28
   6. Gil Garesh
   7. Cigarcow
   8. Jose
   9. StolenMonkey86
   10. Erin
   11. Daniel
   12. Fanerman

You may notice we started the numbering at 0 instead of 1. Here's why: based on the recorded attendance at tonight's Dodgers-Rockies game, as will be listed on dodgers.com tomorrow, we will pick the winner. Simply divide the attendance figure by 13, and whatever the remainder is will indicate the winner. So if there are 40,000 in attendance, dividing by 13 would give 3,076 with a remainder of 12, so Fanerman would win. If there are 36,351 in attendance, dividing by 13 would give 2,796 with a remainder of 3, so Steve would win. And so on.

Thankfully SoSG employs a team of full-time mathematicians precisely for situations like this, so we can probably achieve a 24-hour turnaround time on the calculation and have the winner announced soon after. He or she will just have to provide us with a physical mailing address via email, and we'll ship out the prize at our expense*. Good luck!

*we are not responsible for items lost in mail, particularly if being mailed to Venezuela.

Off-Day Puzzle #9: Solution

Before you watch the solution, I'd like to pass along some words from Nostradamus himself, who texted me this morning with some thoughts he wanted to share:

"Hello SoSG Puzzlers. By the time you read this I'm probably dead. But I hope you enjoyed my fourth prophecy, congrats to Berkowit28, Jose, Stolenmonkey86, Daniel, and Fanerman, who solved the puzzle in that order! I just want to say that it was an especially fun but challenging prophecy to construct because I had to 1) make sure each magic letter was in the correct position, 2) provide enough clues so you'd know how to solve it, and 3) keep it sufficiently smooth and poetic-sounding cuz I have a rep to uphold. Also, I'd really like to hear directly from you readers regarding which clues were most helpful or misleading, as this SoSG Karros guy seems sort of dim (j/k, bro!). Anyhow, good luck to your Dodgers tonight. Quite honestly I'm not a big baseball fan, as it wasn't very big in 16th century France. But a high school classmate of mine used to play (Saint-Rémy High, class of 1521, go Tigres Luttants!), a guy named Jeff Kent. He didn't talk to me much as he was a bit older (he was a senior when I was a sophomore). I wonder what ever happened to him. Anyways, again, I hope you enjoyed! And if you did, check out my other three volumes of Prophecies, available on amazon.com or go to my myspace page. Peace Out!"
                                                    - Nostradamus
                                                          XOXO

So there you have it, words from Nostry himself. Anyhow, on to the solution. Or at least the most widely accepted interpretation of Nostradamus' Lost Prophecy:

But wait, there's more! That video only had the main clues. Here's a line-by-line analysis of the Prophecy:

Hope lies in the Eye, freedom it can bring
       -->Sets up the premise of having to find the Being by knowing where to look

High north and due west, its journey begins;
       -->Start in the upper left of the prophecy

A promising Being, meanwhile cries aloud

A promising Being, buried north to the south;
       -->The Being is hidden vertically, from the top to the bottom


His skin and bones trapped, but free he will fly
       -->More set-up of premise

Once his soul is unearthed from the haze by the Eye;
       -->Nostradamus originally penned this line as “Once his name is unearthed from the page by the Eye.”

Plate skills he may bring, from mounds he may hurl
       -->This line has proven to be the most controversial, and in fact was the one Berkowit28 and I discussed in the comments. One camp of scholars, including myself, feel this was intended it to convey that The Being could be either a hitter or a pitcher (with plate skills referring to hitters and hurling from mounds referring to pitchers), and thus you shouldn’t focus on only one or the other. The other camp, which includes Berkowit28, interpret it as suggesting The Being is a pitcher, since NL pitchers have to bat and thus must bring some semblance of "plate skills". You decide.

But throughout measured lines, he mustn’t more toil;
       -->"measured lines" refers to the cadenced and highly calibrated lines of this prophecy. Nostradamus initially wrote it as “But throughout senseless words, he mustn’t more toil” but in the end wanted it to be more cryptic. In retrospect maybe he should have left it like that.


Thus embark does the Eye, at the Being’s behest
       -->So now the prophecy is about to tell you how exactly what path your eyes must take to find the Being

Descends courier rows, leaping space in its quest;
       -->“leaping space in its quest” means you ignore spaces entirely. “Descends courier rows” means that courier type (or another monospace font) is the only way technically each “step to the east” is of equal distance, assuming you skip spaces as previously instructed.

If each stride to the south, brings a step to the east
       -->This to me was among the most important lines. With each row down, you move one letter to the right (again, ignoring spaces).

Liberation has come, the Being released!
       -->If you do the above properly , you will find Hiroki Kuroda’s name and free him!

Anyhow, thanks again for playing. Both the PCS Rankings and the Participation Lottery will be posted soon. And if you get a chance to honor Nostradamus request about sharing your experiences trying to solve the puzzle (successful or not), please do so. Next off-day puzzle, September 4!

Monday, August 18, 2008

Sign A Maddux, Save A Kershaw?

Rob Neyer over at espn.com thinks that the Dodgers' signing of Greg Maddux isn't just Ned Colletti reaching back into his bag of tricks to pull out the same slight-of-hand routine he did back in 2006. No, Neyer posits that this deal may have been designed just to keep the pressure off phenom Clayton Kershaw (insider only; no link):

[T]he Dodgers already have the best pitching/defense in the National League; their 3.64 ERA is tops, and that includes Brad Penny's 6.05 mark in 94 innings. You can't really blame the Dodgers for not trusting Chan Ho Park, but in five starts he does have a 2.16 ERA with a fantastic K/W ratio.

And two, what happens if the Dodgers beat out the Diamondbacks? By most reasonable definitions, Maddux is now the Dodgers' fifth-best starting pitcher. Would management bump him from the rotation in October, in favor of 20-year-old Clayton Kershaw? Probably not, and that might actually be a stroke of genius. Before this year, Kershaw had never thrown more than 122 innings in one season. Right now, he's at 134 and counting. Figure seven more starts and he's up to 170-175 innings, which is about the most you'd want to see him throwing this year.

Maybe I'm giving Ned Colletti too much credit, but I wonder if the possible acquisition of Maddux isn't designed, at least in part, to save Kershaw's arm.

Yeah, Neyer probably is giving Colletti too much credit. After all, we're still givng away one and possibly two players (as of this post, it still wasn't determined who they are, and we can only hope that Andruw Jones is one of them). And the idea that Colletti and McCourt would willingly spend $2M on the chance that we should have to protect a young arm goes against the Dodgers' track records of fiscal parsimony as well as overusing youth (particularly when veterans are not available--see: Jason Schmidt). No, we signed Maddux because Brad Penny is injured, and McCourt finally figured out that playoff tickets = increased attendance revenues.

Let's just pray that we didn't give any gems away to get him.

Random Notes on a Scorecard Texted from Press Row to a Blog Post

Sax and Orel went to a game last week.

Sounds like the first line of a bad joke, I know (no, this isn't an "Orel Sax" joke). It was a wonderful evening in which the Dodgers clawed their way back from 4-0 and 6-1 deficits to win on a wonderfully dramatic Nomar Garciaparra home run, 7-6. And there are a number of thoughts I scribbled down on a notepad soon after returning from the game that I haven't gotten around to posting. Some of them are similar thoughts to what Jon posted here, as well as what Rob posted here.

But one of the things that made this game so awesome, besides the drama on the field of course, is the fact that Orel and I were seated in the Baseline Club section, aisle 27 (the closest aisle to home plate), so close that were talking with Dodgers (okay, more like talking at Dodgers) as they entered the dugout from the field. I am privileged to sit pretty close at Dodger games, but I can't recall getting this perspective before; it yielded a lot of insights which made the game experience a lot more fun (as well as the fact that we went with Mrs. Sax and Mrs. Orel, and all four of us ate like Andruw Joneses, thanks to access to the all-you-can-eat Baseline Club). And so, with apologies to Allan Malamud and Jerry Crowe, some thoughts from super-up-close baseline club seats:

  • Manny Ramirez' addition the the lineup, coupled of course with Casey Blake, has really been game-changing. No longer do we have to suffer through a stretch of three to five consecutive batters that you know have no chance at mustering a rally or a threat. As Jon wrote, this may be exactly what Colletti was trying to assemble this off-season, hinging our hopes on the ill-fated signing of Andruw Jones (though I'm skeptical it was a thoughtful endeavor on Ned's part, given the previous signing of light-hitting Juan Pierre; the deliberate efforts to retard the growth of Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier, and James Loney; and the continued yet inexplicable presence of Mark Sweeney); but it's nice to see a potent lineup once again. You can almost feel the pressure on opposing pitchers by seeing bat after bat after bat in the lineup. And as a spectator, you can't just get up and go get a beer during some innings anymore, confident that the Dodgers wouldn't score.
  • Casey Blake is locked in when he's on the field, and that seems to be a good thing; Blake's slugging average is up relative to his season with the Indians, though his OPS+ is down, and he has grounded into more double plays as a Dodger (4) than as an Indian (3), in less than one quarter of the sample. But he has solidified the bottom end of our lineup, and if it's because he looks like he's just come out of a week's hike in the mountains and he needs food, then I'm okay with it. (Or maybe it's the beard.)
  • Jeff Kent has his offensive groove back, and it doesn't make him any less cantankerous as our friend TJ Simers found, even if TJ mixes up the batting order in his own mind. Jon says it's not that Kent's slot is protected by Manny Ramirez, it's just reflective of Kent's streakiness. Or maybe it's because Kent has been the lone consistently-producing veteran on the squad, and now he's finally got someone else with a bigger bat and a brighter star with which to compete? In any event, it seems to me that the last time Kent had a big bat protecting him in the cleanup spot, he did pretty damn well. Balls are cracking sharply off his bat, unless I mistook the sound for the creaking of his knees.
  • Nomar Garciaparra is just huge in the clutch. To come back off the DL and pull a walk-off HR stunt like that, bringing back memories of the 4+1 game of 2006--it's just amazing that Nomar can channel himself in these huge opportunities and rise to the challenge in a big way. Yeah, he's probably being paid too much for too little time on the field and too much time on the disabled list. But I'm not going to give Nomar any grief for his brittleness; he's been a great emotional force for the Dodgers, and a great role model for the team, and I'm glad he's on our squad.
  • Throughout that four-game series sweep against Philadelphia, our bullpen kept us in the game. Penny's departure from Wednesday's game, having spotted the Phillies six big ones early on, was pretty alarming, but when Jason frickin' Johnson can come in for 2.2 innings of servicable time, augmented by more shutout goodness from Joe Beimel, Chan Ho Park, and Jonathan Broxton, it allows our offense a chance to work its way back. This of course made Sunday's Ethier-walk-off-HR victory over Milwaukee even more poignant, as the now-clicking offense picked up the bullpen in one of its rare meltdowns (though meltdowns aren't all that rare for Park, even I have to admit he's been surprisingly effective this year). Our bullpen pitching has been a nice source of strength.
  • Andre Ethier had some nice at bats and a fine catch in the field on Wednesday night, presaging his amazing weekend against Milwaukee. And this, from a kid who has had to fight all year for a starting role, without grumbling once to the press when he was so frequently sat (even after "being named the starter"). I applaud Ethier's resilience and maturity. (And Mrs. Sax and Mrs. Orel both applaud his good looks.)
  • Matt Kemp seems to be enjoying the game a bit more now, which I'm sure is correlated to his recent improved performance and visibly apparent poise and patience at the plate. As Joe Torre said on Dodgers.com, "the game's slowing down for him a little bit." I can't comment on whether Kemp is able to affect the time-space continuum, but it is nice to see that Torre, as well as Brewers manager Ned Yost, are both remarking about Kemp's maturity rather than his brash immaturity. (The article also mentions an early-to-stadium work ethic that was formerly singularly reserved for Juan Pierre propaganda pieces.) As for the early-season rumblings trying to characterize Kemp as the next Milton Bradley, from the look on his face as he enters the dugout and interacts with his teammates, he looks like he's really enjoying himself out there, and I'm glad. He deserves it.
  • Manny Ramirez is one hilarious guy out there on the field. All the articles mentioning how he approaches the game like a 12-year-old are spot on, as he has a gleam in his eye that shows he approaches the game with wonder and joy with a dash of innocence. He's smiling with his teammates, he's waving to the crowd, he's got an electric personality. Wow, I'm glad he's a Dodger, even if only for this season; we didn't have a shot at making the playoffs without him.
  • Jeff Kent, up close, is still a grump.
  • Larry Bowa is going to send runners more often than not, so they'd better have those wheels churning as they round third. And yet, somehow, even when Bowa is wrong, he doesn't appear to be as indecisive as how Glenn Hoffman used to man that third-base coach post.
  • The Dodger dugout camaraderie seems to be alive and gelling, further supporting the theory that winning creates chemistry and not the other way around. At one point, I even called out to Angel Berroa, who was up at the top step for most of the game, jawing with peers and waving to the crowd in between innings. Heck, if Berroa is smiling and into it, it must be a pretty good vibe.

And our current position, tied for first in the standings with the Diamondbacks, apparently gives us a slight two-percentage-point edge to win the NL West and make the playoffs. Wow. This is going to be exciting.

And down the stretch they come...

Welcome Back, Greg Maddux

Pitcher Greg Maddux to rejoin Dodgers (LA Times)

Should 30 = 34?

From "Dodgers great Maury Wills at peace with a sober reality" by Kurt Streeter at the LA Times:

[Maury Wills] has even found a way to work around the hurt that comes from the fact the Dodgers have never retired his number. (Team policy says only Hall of Famers can have their jersey retired and framed in the Dodgers outfield, the exception being former player Jim Gilliam, a coach for the team when he died during the World Series in 1978.)

[...] here's a recommendation for the Dodgers: If you do not want to bend the retired jersey rule, fine.

But justice can still be done.

Casey Blake wears No. 30 now. When he leaves the team, never let another player wear it again -- a sort of unofficial retirement, without the permanent sign in the outfield.

The Dodgers have already unofficially embargoed No. 34, honoring Fernando Valenzuela for his impact during the 1980s.

In the '60s, Wills was just as big as Valenzuela, just as important. And he started an on-field revolution.

While Fire Joe Morgan breaks down why Wills will most likely not make it into the Hall of Fame, Streeter has an intriguing proposition. What do you think?

Off-Day Puzzle #9: The Lost Prophecy of Nostradamus

Happy Puzzle Day, folks! Here's today's casse-tête:

Premise: Five centuries ago, in a small town in the south of France, an infant was born to a grain dealer and his wife. From these modest beginnings, the infant grew into a boy, the boy into a man. That man would go on to author The Prophecies, a collection of over a thousand predictions divided into three volumes that today stand as the most widely renown works of their kind ever written. They have been credited by many as foretelling some of the most epic events in history, including the Great Fire of London, the French Revolution, the rise of Napoleon and Adolf Hitler, and both World Wars. The visionary of whom I speak is, of course, none other than Nostradamus.

Fast forward to last week at a rest stop off the New Jersey Turnpike. Upon reviewing the snack options offered by the stop's lone vending machine, I decided upon an inviting bag of Ranch-flavored Corn Nuts. As I fished through my pocket for some coins, a quarter escaped my grasp, and I ruefully watched as it dropped to the pavement and rolled under the machine. Reluctantly, I knelt down, rolled up my sleeve, and tentatively swept my hand under the machine, hoping it would quickly be met by the cold touch of metal.

To my surprise, my hand instead came across a weathered piece of paper. Curious, I picked up the document and looked it over, and despite its brevity (only one page), it soon became clear that I had stumbled upon Nostradamus' oft-rumored-but-never-located fourth volume of prophecies.

"Are you effin' kidding me?" I thought to myself. "Nostradamus' lost Prophecy right here in my hands?!?" Comprehending the magnitude of my discovery, I went straight to Kinko's to make photocopies. I also had the prophecy scanned to an electronic file despite the hefty $2.49-per-page cost (can you say 'rip-off'?) because I figured come-on, this is Nostra-freakin'-damus we're talking about. And hey, it was only one page.

So here, dear readers, is today's off-day puzzle, courtesy of the Great Nostradamus, with an assist from Kinko's:

(click on image to enlarge)

Question: To whom is Nostradamus referring when he writes of 'the Being' (and why)?

Puzzle Rules: Comment freely, but if you have the solution, please don't give away the answer to everyone in the comments section. Instead, do the following:

  • Email us your solution explanation (and please include your screen name somewhere in the email), and
  • Post a comment simply saying you have emailed your solution attempt so I know to check our email.

And remember, the correct solution and the correct methodology must be submitted to receive full credit. Solutions arrived at through luck or incorrect methodology, even if correct, receive participation credit only. Deadline is midnight PT, and the solution will be posted sometime tomorrow. Thanks, and good luck to all!

Bonus! In addition to the prizes we're awarding to the Puzzle Championship Series, we're also giving away a participation prize for this individual puzzle. Here's how it works: All solution attempts submitted via email before the deadline - correct or not - will be entered into a pool*. From this pool, one name will be randomly selected in a manner both objective and transparent to be revealed later. As long as the person drawn is willing to send us his/her mailing address, they will receive a wonderful Dodger-related prize item.

*each name is entered only once, regardless of the number of solution attempts submitted

_______________________________________________

Hint #1 (9:08am PT): The prophecy is indeed solvable, and less open to subjective interpretation than most of Nostradamus' prophecies. The Being is indeed a Dodger, and keep in mind I created this puzzle approximately 2 months ago. Er, I mean Nostradamus did 500 years ago. You know what I mean. I hope.

Hint #2 (10:00am PT): Every line of the prophecy has some significance, although some are more important than others. There are several critical clues hidden throughout. If you locate them, put them together, and interpret them correctly, you will be 100% certain that you have the indisputably correct solution.

Hint #3 (10:51am PT): You won't need baseball-reference.com for this one. Stats or teams played on are irrelevant. As mentioned in the comments, someone who knows little about baseball could conceivably solve the puzzle, but it would be somewhat easier if he/she knew a bit about baseball/the Dodgers. And although every line has some level of importance, there is at least one major hint in each stanza.

Hint #4 (12:05pm PT): Don't try to necessarily match the literal meaning of the prophecy's words to the history or characteristics of a particular player - the solution is somewhat more abstract, but at the same the answer will be spelled out in no uncertain terms once you understand the prophecy.

Hint #5 (1:35pm PT): If I were to categorize each of the 12 lines of the prophecy as either more important ("A") or less important ("B"), they would go: B, A, B, A; B, A, B, A; B, A, A, B.

Warning (Not a Hint) (1:36pm PT): The solution, which will be posted tomorrow, is not for the faint of heart or easily frightened.

Hint #6 (2:00pm PT): Only the names of the players are relevant, nothing else about them matters.

Hint #7 (3:36pm PT): North = up, south = down, east = right, west = left. that may seem obvious, but it's important.

Hint #8 (5:57pm PT): When Orel wrote me an email saying "I'm rewriting it in MS Word," I suspected he was on the right track (although he hasn't yet solved it). How would that help, you ask? It's all in the Prophecy. Nostradamus was a deep if subtle guy.

Last Hint #9 (7:37pm PT): Here's an earlier draft that I, er, Nostradamus wrote. He ended up revising it at the urging of his editors after a series of consumer focus groups suggested it was not cryptic enough and could thus compromise his image:

Early Draft of Lost Prophecy

Ok, I'm going to sleep now. Good night, and good luck!

Solution: click here

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Overjoyed!

Kids. Veterans. Everybody's getting in on the act. And what did it take to make us not worry about the differences between kids and veterans? A player who's a little bit of both: Manny Ramirez. Not only is Manny contributing offensively—"The Dodgers are 6-1 when Ramirez homers, 8-3 when he drives in at least one run," ESPN.com tells us—but he's playing a serviceable left field as well. And all reports indicate the Dodgers clubhouse is a looser, happier place these days...no matter who gets the winning hit.

photo by Amber Matsumoto/Dodgers

Post-Game 124 Thread: "Another Miracle at Dodger Stadium!"

DODGERS 7, BREWERS 5

Earlier: "Orange Ya Glad I Started?", The Zen of Andre Ethier

photos by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Game 124 Thread: August 17 vs. Brewers, 1p

Clayton Kershaw (2-3, 3.78) vs. Jeff Suppan (8-7, 4.56).

COMMENTS: Luck stopped being a lady for the Dodgers last night, but that's life, that's what all the people say. If the Dodgers make the playoffs, then people will say it was a very good year. While the best is yet to come for young Kershaw, he can fly us to the moon by showing a little stopper mentality today—making sure the Dodgers and wins over quality teams aren't like strangers in the night, exchanging glances. And although the Dodgers with and without Manny Ramirez have been like day and night, night and day, it can't be only Manny and then send in the clowns. I mean, I get a kick out of Manny. You could say I've got him under my skin. But every player has to produce or this season will just end up being somethin' stupid.