Tuesday, August 25, 2009

The Source of Manny's Slumpiness

Manny Ramirez is visibly slumping, looking lost at the plate and swinging poorly on pitches that he would absolutely crush earlier this season, and in particular late last season. Yes, it might be the lack of steroids, of course. But I'd been trying to track where the slump began, to see if there might be other explanations.

I'd thought it was the Bobbleslam Curse, since Manny is batting .245 with a horrific .709 OPS since the pinch-hit grand slam. The team has gone 13-16 in this period, in which Ramirez has hit but two home runs across 29 games.

But Darren Everson of the WSJ thinks Reds pitcher Homer Bailey is to blame, since two games prior (July 21), losing pitcher Bailey had plunked Manny on the hand:

Manny Ramirez fans may be wondering if his 50-game drug suspension has affected his performance at the plate. But Mr. Ramirez's decline dates to July 21, when he got hit on the left hand by a Homer Bailey fastball. Before the plunking, Mr. Ramirez had hit .333 in 48 post-suspension at-bats; in the 30 games since (before Monday night [on which the Dodgers did not play! Should have checked the schedule, Darren]), he was at .252, including a 44-at-bat RBI drought that began two at-bats after he got hit by the pitch.

The drought point is well-taken, and supports his theory more than mine if you believe that RBI are entirely under Manny's control. If not, the BobbleSlam Curse batting average is a more telling indicator. Any other theories to why our Manny is slumping? And more importantly, any thoughts on how we can get Manny out of this slump?

At-Game Recap (8/23/09): Erin, My Secret Identity, and the SoSG Bar

Sunday's Dodgers-Cubs game wouldn't normally be one for the memory books. The Dodgers' sputtering offense, particularly without Randy Wolf in the lineup, couldn't manage more than one run in losing to Ryan Dempster and a 4-for-4 Jake Fox. Manny Ramirez looked just as lost up close as he does on television, except this time it happened not only on the field (misplaying a carom awfully, while Matt Kemp looked on from centerfield in apparent bewilderment and/or disgust), but also at the plate (including a game-ending, Carlos-Beltran-like called strike three). The afternoon sun out on field level was hot, real hot, Robin Williams Good Morning Vietnam monologue hot. And I attended the game with a good friend who is a lifelong Cubs fan, and since he decided to come to the game dressed in a Cubs jersey, I had no choice but to counter by wearing my own Dodgers jersey, further increasing an already overheated body temperature that beers did little to regulate (and don't think I didn't try my hardest).

But there was a nice highlight for me, in that I got to spend bits and pieces of the game hanging out with Erin, of Robots Took My Medicine (and formerly, Beantown West) fame. Erin, who came to the game with her fiancee Christine, was a pleasure with which to hang out, and I'm not just saying this because she bought me a beer (a premium one at that; I'm not used to such non-proletariat fare!).

I met Erin at last year's Dodger Blogger night, which was kind of funny, with her being the only woman in the suite, and me wearing a nametag that said "Hello! My name is STEVE SAX". Since then, I've read Robots (and its predecessor) regularly, and she's stopped by SoSG early and often. I'd met her one other time when I was at a game with SoSG Alex Cora, but we never got much of a chance to chat.

And as readers know, we Sons appreciate our secret identities. I mean, it's not that big of a deal, nor is it that exciting of a secret, but it's just better for all involved that we operate under pseudonyms. So the very act of meeting another SoSG reader, let alone one who publishes on her own accord, is a little bit of a leap of faith on our account. I mean, we have our batcave locations to protect.

But lowering the veil of anonymity for Erin is fine because, well, Erin is one cool cat. She is the kind of person with whom you'd like to hang out at a game: knowledgable and well-versed but not overbearing or oppressive; full of opinions, but willing to hear the other side and engage in the debate; serious about her craft of writing a Dodgers blog, but not too serious to refrain from poking fun at herself, or lose sight of the joys of the journey. It's always more fun to watch games around nice, spirited people like Erin and my Cub friend; it makes the whole game more interesting and enjoyable. And, she had a good time razzing my Cubs comrade, who gave it back as well, but all politely and in good fun.

On top of all that, Erin is highly adept at playing the nomad in the stadium, jumping from suddenly-occupied to unoccupied seat with aplomb. In a city like Los Angeles, when you still have pretty-boy bozos in their Ed Hardy faux-ripped shirts and retro sunglasses reeking of Axe body wash, showing up in the bottom of the fifth inning (you know who you are), this is quite a skill. Wit, personality, AND agility--Christine is a lucky woman (and a very nice person as well, btw).

I never thought I would make a new friend through this whole Dodger blogger thing. It's pretty cool that it's worked out that way. Stepping back, I suppose it's a real testament to the entire SoSG community that we've been lucky enough to build a readership that is witty, funny, and a great group of guys and girls. They're cool on the site, and if Erin is any indication, they're cool in person, too.

One of the coolest comments I've seen came earlier this month, when SoSG reader Greg Bishop wrote in a Game Thread, "I do enjoy the site. A lot. SOSG is like Dodger Thoughts with beer." [Nothing against Dodger Thoughts, of course; I like DT, but I also like beer.] And Erin is a microcosm of this phenomenon; it's just a bunch of fun people who like to hang out and riff a bit as they imbibe a beer and watch the game. Sometimes you want to go where everybody knows your pseudonym.

We Sons have put a lot of time into this site, trust me. But the SoSG community really makes it all worthwhile; so, thank you. Really.

As for my secret identity, I think it's in safe hands, kind of like when Spider-Man revealed his identity early on to the Fantastic Four, and then ended up having a long friendship with the Human Torch.

But just in case, Erin, next beer's on me.

Off-Day Puzzle #15: Solution

"Seek and ye shall find", a great pirate once said. The answer to yesterday's Dead Sailors puzzle is eleven.

Immediately after the first syllable in each line (or, in some cases, slightly less than a syllable, but never to begin a line), the numbers one through twelve are phonetically embedded, in reverse order:

No[12]rsed in the high seas,
The ____ sailors caught disease.
Rot[10] mutton made them ill,
Be[9] it looked but looks can kill.

They [8] and when their feast was through,
'twa[7] taking all but two;
Two [6]urvivors lost at sea,
If[5] seen worse, I lie to thee.

Will [4]tune save their aimless boat?
Bo[3]affirm their faith and hope;
Their [2]mbstones nonetheless will say,
"They [1] our hearts but lost their way."

The blank is therefore the missing number in the sequence - eleven.

Congratulations to a record 15 solvers: drewdez, keven c, mr customer, j steve, fanerman, berkowit28, josh s, bwrightson, erin, ubragg, danielle, jose, neeebs, llcooll, and rbnlaw. Special kudos to danielle for her first puzzle solve!

Updated puzzle rankings to be posted soon. Next Puzzle: 7am, Thursday, Sept 10, courtesy of PCS middle-third champ UBragg!

And Just When I Had Reached A State Of Calm About The Dodgers,...

...along comes Steve Phillips to say the Dodgers will be just fine:

But now that [Chad] Billingsley's back in the rotation, it should make a big difference. The Dodgers have gotten a couple of good starts out of knuckleballer Charlie Haeger, which has been a bonus for them as well. The real impact, though, will be with the return of Hong-Chih Kuo and the addition of George Sherrill to their bullpen. Dodgers GM Ned Colletti has added two high-quality left-handed relievers to an already deep bullpen. This will allow manager Joe Torre to better work matchups in a game and allow him to avoid overworking any one individual over the final month of the regular season. The Dodgers are an exceptional defensive team, and have a very good bullpen and an offense that can score in a number of different ways. All of those strengths have and will continue to make up for any deficiencies in their starting rotation.

Look for the Dodgers to start to get hot at just the right time -- heading into September -- and be primed and ready to play some October baseball. But the upcoming series against the Rockies is certainly going to be a big one. Expect the entire state of Colorado to be fired up for it. The Rockies have been an amazing story, but in the end, I just don't think they have the pitching on their roster (1 through 12) to match up with the Dodgers.

Look for Manny to get hot. As the games mean more, his attention will be grabbed and he will get locked back in at the plate. Torre has managed teams in this situation before, and I expect he will draw upon that experience with his veteran coaching staff in this series against Colorado and down the stretch as well.

If Phillips thinks we'll be fine, our pitching staff will settle down, Manny will get hot, and Torre will manage well under pressure--I'm guessing none of these four things will happen. Holy smokes, now I'm worried.

Monday, August 24, 2009

Post-Scoreboard-Watching Thread: Giants Play Scorpion, Rockies Play Frog

ROCKIES 6, GIANTS 4 (14)

Dodger fans were having fun with tonight's marathon game at Coors Field. Jim Tracy had burned through seven pitchers, finally leaving in Adam "Mark" Eaton (ERA hovering around 8) in for 55 pitches, which burned Tracy when two triples and a backfired IBB resulted in a three-run top of the 14th inning, giving the Giants a 4-1 lead. Insurmountable, right?

Not for the Giants, whose nature is so hard-coded to screw the Dodgers, even at sacrificial cost to themselves. Remembering that their playoff chances are only about 11% anyway, the Giants went ahead and coughed up a huge hairball, watching Giant reliever Justin Miller walk in the Rox' pitcher (the aforementioned Eaton) on five pitches to cut the lead to two runs. And then, just for icing, Bruce Bochy brings in Jerkin' Merkin Valdez, whose second pitch of the ballgame results in a walk-off grand salami for Ryan Spilborghs. Game over, Rockies win and take three of four from the Giants.

On the bright side, the Rockies' 14-inning victory depleted their bullpen a day before they start a three-game series with the Dodgers, and the fact that we saw Jason Marquis pitch eight innings of one-run ball means that he's spent for this series too, which is also good. But a puny three-game divisional lead means that a series sweep by the Rockies would (gulp!) tie up the NL West altogether.

Damn Giants.

UPDATE 11:19p: I suppose, upon further review, that the whole scorpion-and-the-frog analogy doesn't work all that well for the frog part, since the Rockies ended up winning the game rather than drowning in the river (except for the bullpen depletion, perhaps). Well, half of the metaphor worked.

UPDATE #2 (8/25, 6p): One day later, I'm still aghast at the Rockies' comeback. Just check out the fangraphs win probability chart for this game. Unbelievable.

artwork by Zoe Piel

Y'all Ready for This?

"We're going to get through this spell and be fine, no one is panicking...y'all shouldn't either. "

—Matt Kemp, from a chat at Dodgers.com

photo by Jill Weisleder/Dodgers

Scoreboard Watching: Giants @ Colorado, 5.40p

Barry Zito (8-11, 4.26) takes on Jason Marquis (14-8, 3.58) in a game that will conflict the heck out of Dodger fans, who find it troublesome at best and intestine-eviscerating at worst to root for the Giants. But that's what Dodger fans must do, in order to make sure that the Dodgers get to Coors Field tomorrow with no chance of losing the divisional lead to the upstart Rockies, who have thrived since former Dodger manager Jim Tracy took the helm.

Do I want the Rockies to win today's game? I do not. Would I be happy to see the Giants earn a split of the four-game series, treading both teams in water while the Dodgers took three of four from the Cubs? I would. Do I think the Dodgers should still go to Coors and take care of business on their own anyway, which includes seeing James Loney find his hitting groove again in surroundings he has historically found quite comfortable? I do.

Poll: Code Purple

Three games against the Rox this week! How will we do?

  • Sweep! 3-0.
  • Series win! 2-1.
  • Series loss! 1-2.
  • Get swept! 0-3.

Give us your answer in our sidebar poll. And here's the results from last week's poll:

It was close, but most of you think it's hate mail. I guess we've arrived!

Josh vs. Josh Update

"Hey Rawitch: Scoreboard!"

Josh Rawitch: $1,150 (last year's winning bid: $1,520)

Josh Suchon: $1,215 (last year's winning bid: $1,010)

Auctions close today at 5 p.m. PT.

What's this all about? The Return of Josh vs. Josh (SoSG)

UPDATE:

The final tally:

Rawitch: $1,690
Suchon: $3,505

Congrats to both Joshes for beating last year's numbers, and congrats to Josh S. for winning this year's Battle of the Joshes!

Off-Day Puzzle #15: Dead Sailors

Happy puzzle day! Today's edition is a bit macabre, and has nothing to do with baseball, but I hope you'll enjoy it nonetheless.

Read the following verse carefully and fill in the blank with the proper number of diseased sailors (including the last two who didn't immediately die):

Not well-versed in the high seas,
The ____ sailors caught disease.
Rotten mutton made them ill,
Benign it looked but looks can kill.

They ate and when their feast was through,
'twas heaven taking all but two;
Two sick survivors lost at sea,
If I've seen worse, I lie to thee.

Will fortune save their aimless boat?
Both reaffirm their faith and hope;
Their tombstones nonetheless will say,
"They won our hearts but lost their way."

Hint #1 (7:56am): The puzzle was inspired in part by the Plain White T's.

Hint #2 (10:03am): It might help to recite the verses to a friend (or to yourself).

Note (not really a hint, but sort of I guess) (11:49am): Getting the correct-syllabled number to fit the meter of the poem is not the methodology (such a methodology would not result in a definitive answer anyhow, as there are countless numbers each with a given number of syllables. And the meter on these puzzle-poems is never perfectly correct...).

Solution: click here.

Puzzle Rules: Comment freely in the thread, but if you have the solution, please don't give it away to everyone in the comments section. Instead, do the following:

  • Email us with the correct number along with your reasoning. Submitted answer without the reasoning, or those submitted with the incorrect reasoning, will count for participation only, even if the number itself is correct. And please include your screen name somewhere in the email; and
  • Post a comment simply saying you have emailed your solution attempt. I may not be able to reply to your original email promptly, so please be patient and check back on the comment thread for the latest news; I may confirm correct answers there.

You have until midnight PT tonight to submit your answer. Answer will be posted tomorrow morning. Good luck!

Not familiar with SoSG's off-day puzzle competition? Read up here. And join the fun!

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Post-Game 125 Thread: Dempster Dumps Dodgers

You may be sad,
but Vince Vaughn is happy.
And isn't that
all that matters?

CUBS 3, DODGERS 1

photo by Mark J. Terrill/AP

Game 125 Thread: August 23 vs. los Cachorros, 1p

Chad Billingsley (12-6, 3.70) vs. Ryan Dempster (6-7, 4.28).

COMMENTS: Dodgers : Cubbies :: Cards : Dodgers? Whatever the analogy, the Boys in Blue are looking to complete a four-game sweep of the Other Boys in Blue today. Unlike in the Cards series, both the Dodger bats and arms have showed up for this Cubs series, although it's unlikely Billingsley (on a pitch count) will be able to match the seven strong innings each turned in by Randy Wolf and Charlie Haeger. But the most notable Dodger still not at full strength is Manny Ramirez, although he's 4-for-11 in this series and may very well be on his way to warming up in September. Let's hope the forecast calls for some H.E.A.T. in the weeks to come.

Same two Game Thread superstitions are in play today (not referring to opponents by their name in the headline; posting the GT one minute after the hour). But this time, we're going absolutely N.U.T.S. at SoSG and pushing our luck with another superstition: SoSG Sax, 7-0 this season, will be at today's game (field level, third base side). Post a comment if you're there and want to grab a beer!

Too Much Awesome in One Picture

(Thanks to SoSG reader JBJ for the find!)

photo by Amber Matsumoto/Dodgers

Is Jonathan Broxton Gruntled or Disgruntled?

As you may have heard, Joe Torre pitched Jonathan Broxton in the eighth inning and George Sherrill in the ninth of yesterday's game. What was Broxton's reaction?

From the AP recap at ESPN.com:

The manager said he didn't think Broxton had a problem with his decision, but the closer's body language indicated he wasn't thrilled.

"You still got three outs," Broxton said curtly.

And from Ken Gurnick at Dodgers.com:

Broxton said he had no problem with the early warmup.

"We won, so it doesn't matter," he said. "It was a big part of the game. I take the ball when they tell me to go out there and I don't complain about anything."

Both relievers got the job done, although each allowed two baserunners. Broxton is so soft-spoken that we'll never really know what's he's feeling, but kudos to Torre for a successful experiment that may pay dividends in the future.

photo by Jon SooHoo/Dodgers

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Post-Game 124 Thread: Floaters and Moon Shots

DODGERS 2, CUBS 0

Charlie Haeger: 7.0 IP, 0R, 7K, first win as a Dodger.


Matt Kemp: 449-foot home run in the second inning.

photos by Jon SooHoo/Dodgers

Game 124 Thread: August 22 vs. Cubbies, 1p

Charlie Haeger (0-1, 3.86) vs. Ted Lilly (9-7, 3.42).

COMMENTS: So what is the truth about Dodgers starter Charlie Haeger, the recently-promoted pitcher who pitched admirably in his first start this season, last week against the Cardinals? Well, he doesn't consult any statistics about the opposing batters. He throws an unpredictable knuckleball to which only Rick Ankiel and Albert Pujols caught up in his last game through 7IP (which unfortunately earned him the loss). And Thandie Newton is pretty cute. But I'm going to stop this charade of a Game Thread and leave it up to ol' Charlie to bring the Dodgers a third straight win this afternoon at the Ravine.

Again, two GT superstitions in play.

An Unhappy Anniversary

Smile...it could always be worse!

AUGUST, 2008

Anchorman

Randy Wolf on the mound last night: 7.0 IP, 1 ER 5K.


Randy Wolf at the plate last night: 1-for-1, 2 RBIs, 1 BB.

photos by Jill Weisleder/Dodgers

Friday, August 21, 2009

Post-Game 123 Thread: One-Hit Wonder

(It's a single.)

DODGERS 2, CUBS 1

Randy Wolf, George Sherrill, Jonathan Broxton: 9.0 IP, 1H, 1ER.

George Sherrill Signing

I just happened to be in the Burbank area today and noticed through Vin Scully Is My Homeboy that George Sherrill was signing at Staples. I thought I actually saw Roberto leaving - red car, right? There was a good number of people already there and we jumped in line. The line moved quickly though. I heard from other people that they actually did NOT have pens for him to sign with for the first 50 people. Mind you this is STAPLES, the Office Superstore. Just go down aisle three and rip open some pens, guys! I met some great people in line too. One guy takes pictures at games and had this great shot of Loney sliding home against the Cardinals from this past series. Also met JR from JR collectibles, who was really nice.

Sherrill was really nice (and he wasn't wearing his MC Hammer pants). I asked him if he liked Los Angeles and he said he did. He actually seemed pretty nervous and was shaking when signing my ball. Outside, they had the Dodger ticket truck and a pitching net with a Russell Martin cutout in the back. The truck was all pimped out inside with a leather Dodger chair and and Xbox with two TVs on the outside. I asked where Snoop Dogg was and the security guy said that HE was actually the first person to drive the truck. Finally, I saw Jon SooHoo there and made sure to tell him that he takes absolutely great pictures - to which he smiled and said thanks. Overall was a fun (and hot) time. Hope Sherrill doesn't get a cramp from all the autographs - we may need him tonight! Go Blue!