Thursday, October 16, 2025

2025 NLCS Game 3 Thread: Oct 16 vs. Brewers, 3p

Glasnow was pretty good, last time out. He'd better be, again.

Tyler Glasnow vs. TBD.

For the second time this series, let's start with the negative. According to Jayson Stark in The Athletic, there have been eight teams (including this year's Dodgers), since the 2000 Yankees (MLB's last repeat winner), who have been within six games of a repeat World Series Championship. And none of the other seven have made it to a repeat title:

  • 2001 Yankees — one win away (lost Game 7 of the World Series)
  • 2009 Phillies — two wins away (lost the World Series in six games)
  • 2008 Red Sox — five wins away (lost in Game 7 of ALCS)
  • 2012 Cardinals — five wins away (lost in Game 7 of NLCS)
  • 2023 Astros — five wins away (lost in Game 7 of ALCS)
  • 2010 Yankees — six wins away (lost in Game 6 of ALCS)
  • 2021 Dodgers — six wins away (lost in Game 6 of NLCS)

Put another way, of the seven teams since 2000 that had won two games in the LCS and were vying for a repeat World Series title, five of them didn't even make it out of the LCS.

To be fair, the 2001 Yankees were the only team in that set of seven who had a 2-0 lead in the LCS--on the road, no less!--and then went on to fall short (in the World Series, to Luis Gonzalez and the Diamondbacks).

On the other hand, World Series winners in 2021-2023 (Atlanta, Houston, and Texas) all went up 2-0 in their LCS en route to a World Series Championship.

(Atlanta was also up 2-0 on the Dodgers in the 2020 NLCS, and the Dodgers stormed back to not only win the 2020 NLCS but win the 2020 World Series.)

And did you see what just happened to the Mariners last night? Up 2-0 and heading home for Game 3, the Blue Jays rolled the Mariners 13-4, with five Blue Jays hitting home runs en route to victory. Ouch.

Tyler Glasnow takes the mound tonight for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He's had two appearances in the 2025 postseason: a relief appearance in NLDS G1, where he went 1.2 IP (0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 2 Ks), and then a more conventional (and effective) start in NLDS G4 (6.0 IP, 0 ER 2 H, 3 BB, 8 Ks). I was there for that NLDS G4, and he had pinpoint accuracy and was just setting up Ks all over the place, including in high-leverage positions. But Glasnow has gotten through six full innings in only three of his eleven career postseason starts, but no further than that--which means Dave Roberts is gonna have to use the bullpen somehow tonight.

So let's look at some more stats (courtesy ESPN's Get Up from 10.15):

I'm terrified.

96 comments:

QuadSevens said...

GAME 3

Ohtani DH
Betts SS
Smith C
Freeman 1B
Edman 2B
Hernandez, T RF
Muncy 3B
Hernandez, K LF
Pages CF

Glasnow P

QuadSevens said...

Had to get the lineup in early. I have a meeting at 3 today. Boo.

Steve Sax said...

Quad: you look pretty sick. Maybe you should go home early.

Steve Sax said...

But thanks for the lineup posting! :)

Steve Sax said...

Rally Towel photo and thread up!

QuadSevens said...

@Sax I might have the game on, but muted, during the meeting. Perk of working from home.

Steve Sax said...

Little bit of traffic for Glasnow in the first, but he gets out of it.

Steve Sax said...

Ohtani! TRIPLE!!!

Steve Sax said...

That's a much better AB for Ohtani as well. Down 0-2, he worked it.

Steve Sax said...

MOOKIE RBI DOUBLE!!!

Steve Sax said...

@Quad: we need AI Quad to fill in for you at this meeting...

Steve Sax said...

Oh, Will. Ks for the first out.

Steve Sax said...

Nasty pitch by Ashby for that backwards K on Smith.

Steve Sax said...

Four-pitch walk for Freddie. That looked deliberate.

spank said...

damn. pitching change already for Brews

Steve Sax said...

Here's Misiorowski.

Ashby was brought in to get the Dodgers' early lefties. It didn't work.

But the Brewers can still get out of it.

Steve Sax said...

Okay so here's Sax's dilemma.

I need to go for my run today. But I also need to start drinking for this game, and I can't drink before my run. So I think I need to run now and then drink and watch the game later.

Dammit I should have run earlier! Too much work.

spank said...

@saxy....go for your run then drink and watch game. theres still a.game tomorrow

Steve Sax said...

Dammit, Ks on Edman and Hernandez. At least Tommy worked a count; Teo Ks on three straight pitches.

This is gonna be a barnburner game. We stranded two.

1-0 LA through 1.

Steve Sax said...

@spank I think you're right. Please hold down the fort with Quad! And wake up karen!

karen said...

I'm not thrilled to have Miz pitching.

karen said...

I woke up Saxy!!

Steve Sax said...

Kike can't field a ball and Durbin gets a one-out triple. Come on, guys.

Steve Sax said...

@karen: I hate to break it to you. Miz is pitching. And mowing us down.

karen said...

Triple for Durdin. BOOOO!

Steve Sax said...

Rick Monday said that Pages didn't even move on that Durbin triple. Get your head in the game, Pages. You're useless at the plate anyway.

Steve Sax said...

Brewers tie it.

Steve Sax said...

Glasnow does not look sharp, unlike Snell and Yamamoto the last couple of nights.

karen said...

@Saxy....I know he's pitching. That's why I am really unhappy.

Steve Sax said...

Bauers steals and is in scoring position for Ortiz. 1-1 count.

Steve Sax said...

WHAT THE FUCK ARE YOU DOING GLASNOW

Steve Sax said...

Muncy saves Glasnow's ass by getting Bauers at home on the FC. Wow.

karen said...

Great play by Max!

Steve Sax said...

Get a grip, Glasnow.

1-1 tie, mid-2

Steve Sax said...

Miz gets Kiké for his third K (in four batters). Geez.

Steve Sax said...

I know Miz is throwing 100+, but Pages is just hacking here.

Steve Sax said...

Wow Pages actually singles. Amazing.

He's batting .100 now.

Steve Sax said...

So here's Shohei.

Steve Sax said...

Dammit, Shohei grounds out. Again.

1-1 through 2.

Steve Sax said...

Shohei is now batting .167 this postseason.

QuadSevens said...

Meeting done! Let’s go Dodgers!

Steve Sax said...

Tag team with Quad: I’m going on my run

Steve Sax said...

Two Ks for Glasnow, but not efficient. And here’s Yelich

spank said...

Bullpen.will be needed this game. Glassarm at 55 pitches after 3

Steve Sax said...

And Glasnow gets him as well. Wow

spank said...

Miz mowing them down

QuadSevens said...

Glasnow with 5 K’s in a row!

spank said...

Glassarm gives up a single but comes out of the 4th unscathed

QuadSevens said...

A walk, then another punch out! 7 for Glasnow now. Let’s score some runs!

spank said...

Ace Frehley of Kiss passed away 😭

spank said...

oh yeah.nit was a walk. 3-1 pitch. my bad. i saw Quads

karen said...

These losers calling the game are acting like Shohei never strikes out.

spank said...

Vesia warming up.Glassarm seems to have it together though.

Steve Sax said...

Glasnow almost makes it six innings, which would have been good as we are 7-0 in the postseason when our starter goes at least six.

spank said...

we're back to conservative Roberts. i wouldve let Glassarm pitch to one more batter. Vesia coming in

karen said...

Bullpen coming in. :( :(

QuadSevens said...

Short leash on Glasnow.

spank said...

pitch looked high to me. fuck it. I'll take it

Steve Sax said...

I’m back and stretching.

We gotta get to Miz

karen said...

TOMMY TANKS!!!!!

Steve Sax said...

Tommy Tanks!

2-1 LA

Steve Sax said...

Finally chased Miz!

QuadSevens said...

Miz is done! Tommy Tanks chases him with an RBI single.

karen said...

I'll take a throwing error. 3-1 Blue.

QuadSevens said...

Gift run!

Steve Sax said...

And, here’s that horrible bullpen.

Steve Sax said...

I finished my run.

I’m stretching and I’m drinking my first beer—and we take a 3-1 lead.

Coincidence? Or causation?

Steve Sax said...

Opening beer #2 for treinen

Steve Sax said...

One pitch one out for Treinen.

Two out.

Steve Sax said...

Chorizo could easily tie this

Steve Sax said...

And Chourio as well

Steve Sax said...

Oh man. Chourio is in trouble.

Steve Sax said...

Even more brutal: I think Chourio gets that strikeout credited to him

Steve Sax said...

I know Pages is 1-for-2 but it would be nice if he did something here

Steve Sax said...

Pages Ks

Steve Sax said...

Speaking of finally doing something, what about you, Shohei?!

Steve Sax said...

Ohtani Ks.

Trade that guy

Steve Sax said...

He missed one right down the middle, and struck out on a ball low out of the zone.

Trade Ohtani

QuadSevens said...

Hahaha!

Steve Sax said...

Let’s go, Banda! Good eighth

Steve Sax said...

Roki warming up in the pen 😬

Steve Sax said...

Lucky. 2-0 count and he gets the ground out. One out.

spank said...

great play by mook

Steve Sax said...

Sorry: 2-1 count when he got the ground out.

QuadSevens said...

Great play Mookie!

Steve Sax said...

Great play Mookie!!!

karen said...

Mookie with a great play. He deserves to get that Gold Glove.

Steve Sax said...

Mookie again for the second out

Steve Sax said...

Let’s GOOOOOO

WIN!!!!

spank said...

magnifico Roki

Steve Sax said...

WIN!!!

spank said...

that's a wrap

karen said...

WIN BABY!!!!

QuadSevens said...

WIN! LOVE IT!! GO ROKI!!

Steve Sax said...

Let’s GOOOOOOOO

Steve Sax said...

PGT up!