Monday, August 12, 2024

Games 119-122 Thread: August 12-15 @ Brewers

Mon 8.12 5p: Kershaw vs. Peralta
Tue 8.13 5p: Stone vs. Rea
Wed 8.14 5p: TBD vs. Montas
Thu 8.15 11a: TBD vs. Myers

A HUGE welcome back to Mookie Betts, who returns to the Dodgers' lineup after getting breaking his hand on an inside pitch on June 16. The Dodgers are 43-29 with Mookie Betts in the lineup this year; without him, they're only 26-20.

(To be fair, according to ESPN: the Dodgers' 26-20 record stands up decently well against other teams who were hot going into mid-June: Orioles (24-25 since then); Guardians (25-25); Phillies (22-26); Yankees (20-26). But it still ain't great.)

And Mookie's return heralds some changes: Betts moves to right field, and will also drop a slot to bat second, behind Shohei Ohtani. Look, we need Betts and his 3.9 WAR (156 OPS+) back in the lineup, anywhere; I'm just hoping that he can still swing the bat effectively, because you never know how one recovers from a hand injury. If anyone can do it, though, it's the super-human Mookie Betts.

Meanwhile, the Brewers were supposed to be in a rebuilding year (losing Corbin Burnes, and then watching Craig Counsell skip town for Chicago)--and yet, here they are, 7.5 games up on the Cardinals to lead their division. And that's with Christian Yelich out with back issues, no less. The Brewers have a 91.0% chance of winning their division, according to FanGraphs today.

And the Dodgers? With only a 3.5-game lead over the surging Padres and stalwart Diamondbacks, we have only a 75.1% chance of winning our division. Sure, we still have the best odds of any team to win the World Series (16.5%; the Yankees are at 14.9% and the Phillies at 11.9%).

But it's crunch time, in August. And the Dodgers have to prove themselves now, with Mookie Betts back in the lineup.

146 comments:

karen said...

GAME 1
MOOKIE BETTS IS BACK!!!

Shohei Ohtani DH
Mookie Betts RF
Freddie Freeman 1B
Hero Hernandez LF
Gavin Lux 2B
Will Smith C
Miggy Ro SS
K Hernandez 3B
Kevin Kiermaier CF

Clayton Kershaw LHP

Steve Sax said...

Awesome lineup there, karen :)

spank said...

slappy falling off the wayside batting 6th. had no idea his slump was that bad

Steve Sax said...

Ohtani flies weakly to center...but here's Mookie!

karen said...

@Spanky....that's why I went with the whole name and not Slappy. Hope it helps.

Steve Sax said...

Oh man, Mookie swings way through strike 3 and falls to the dirt in a bad fashion. Ugh. Two out.

Steve Sax said...

@karen, @ spank: Slappy has plummeted. He was OPSing .950 on May 1, and is now at .757--the lowest since coming back from Korea.

Steve Sax said...

Freeman flies out, so it's a 1-2-3 inning for Peralta.

(gulp)

spank said...

@karen...ahh ok. you're trying to will Smith to hit with a name change.

spank said...

@saxy...damn. that's bad. never seen Smith in a slump like that. Dodgers need a new hitting coach.

Steve Sax said...

looking like more RISP woes for the Dodgers here in the third...

Steve Sax said...

WP advances Kiké, but now there's two outs for Mookie

Steve Sax said...

MOOKIE!!!!

Steve Sax said...

Mookie HR to put the Dodgers up 2-0!!!

spank said...

Mookie!!!

karen said...

Our boy is back!!!!

karen said...

SHOHEI!!!!!

spank said...

Ohtani-san!!

Steve Sax said...

Luxy almost goes yard as well

4-0 LA

Steve Sax said...

(Sorry, Lux flies out to center to lead off the sixth. But yes, Ohtani's two-run HR makes it 4-0 LA.)

Steve Sax said...

Will Smith barely hits it back to Peralta in his AB. Geez.

Steve Sax said...

Kershaw's line so far: 5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 5 Ks. Excellent!

Steve Sax said...

4-0 LA, mid-6

I'm going for a run

Steve Sax said...

Kershaw leaves with two out and a man on first, B6. Way to go, Kersh!

spank said...

shit

Steve Sax said...

Somebody get Joe Kelly the fuck off the mound

Steve Sax said...

Joe Kelly has been a steaming pile of shit since he is return

Steve Sax said...

Kelly has a 10.80 ERA in August

karen said...

OUR BOY THE MOOKSTER!!!

Steve Sax said...

Vesia with an awesome seventh!strikes out the sidep

spank said...

little winning streak happening

karen said...

CLAYTON'S FIRST WIN!!!

Steve Sax said...

Let’s GOOOOOO! Big win for the good guys.

Steve Sax said...

Padres eke out a 2-1 victory over the visiting Pirates. Sigh.

Steve Sax said...

Snell had a no-hitter through six, but the Giants end up losing 1-0 in 10

Snakes win 5-4 over the visiting Rox.

Steve Sax said...

Even though we didn't gain any ground last night on the NL West, I'm really happy with the outcome: Kershaw with a great start; Vesia with a great hold; Hudson with a great save; Mookie with three RBI in his return. Still worried about the bottom of our lineup, and hoping that Lux (who was robbed last night at the wall) stays hot for the remainder of the year, and that Slappy starts mashing again.

spank said...

River Ryan to have Tommy John surgery. Either the Dodgers are drafting / buying damaged goods or their pitching philosophy needs to change. I'm not on the "it's the pitching clock faults" boat. power pitchers burn out their arms.

Steve Sax said...

@spank: I'm bummed about River Ryan, but to be fair, I think we got him in a trade with the Padres where we gave up Matt Beaty. From MLB Trade Rumors, it was a total win for us:

The 25-year-old Ryan was an 11th-round pick by the Padres in 2021. He went to the Dodgers in a trade that now looks like a heist, sending first baseman/outfielder Matt Beaty back to San Diego. (Beaty played in 20 games with the Padres and hit .093/.170/.163 before being cut loose.)

Steve Sax said...

GAME 2

Shohei Ohtani DH
MOOKIE BETTS RF
Freddie Freeman LF
Teoscar Heranandez LF
Gavin Lux 2B
Will Smith C
Miguel Rojas SS
Kiké Hernandez 3B
Andy Pages CF

Gavin Stone RHP

spank said...

@saxy...thats right. he was traded for Mat Beaty. still though so many pitching injuries i still think a change needs to be made.

karen said...

HEY SPANKY.....If you have more trouble with your computer Boys are also supposed to be on TBS tonight

karen said...

Slappy hits a solo

spank said...

thanks Karen. my pc is working good

spank said...

Ohtani-san!!

karen said...

Shohei hits a solo bomb

spank said...

oh shit..Luxy!!

karen said...

Luxy hits a 2 run homer

spank said...

Pages!!

karen said...

Pages hits second 2 run homer of inning!!!

Steve Sax said...

Let’s go Pages! 7-1

karen said...

WHO JUST MADE THAT GREAT CATCH IN RIGHT???

spank said...

@karen...i didnt see that catch.

karen said...

5 IN A ROW!!!!!!

karen said...

@Spanky....It was just a pretty good catch mostly Mookie horsing around

spank said...

winning streak

spank said...

@karen...cool

Steve Sax said...

Snakes already up 3-0 on the Rockies, and they aren’t even out of the first inning

Steve Sax said...

Snakes up 6-1, B5
Padres up 8-0, B4

Unbelievable.

Steve Sax said...

When will the Padres actually lose a game?!

Steve Sax said...

10-3 Az on the Suarez GS. Geez

karen said...

GAME 3

Shohei Ohtani DH
MOOKIE BETTS RF
Freddie Freeman 1B
T Hernandez LF
Gavin Lux 2B
K Hernandez 3B
Kevin Kiermaier CF
Austin Barnes C
Nick Ahmed SS
WALKER BUEHLER RHP

Steve Sax said...

The Dodgers have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games. And they've actually LOST ground to both AZ and SD (both 9-1 over their last 10). Brutal.

3.0-game lead as we start our game tonight!

Steve Sax said...

I hate this new commenting format

karen said...

@Saxy...Hope I didn't jump the gun on the lineup. I thought you might be hung up at work

spank said...

bases juiced

spank said...

3-0 LA

Steve Sax said...

Good start for us offensively, but we are gonna need it with Buehler walking the first two Brewers faced.

Steve Sax said...

@karen: I TOTALLY appreciate you posting the lineup, whenever you want! Thanks tons 👍

Steve Sax said...

Three straight walks. Get your shit together, Buehler!

spank said...

holy shit kiermeyer

Steve Sax said...

Oh we needed that double play. Wow

Steve Sax said...

3-0 LA through one full

Steve Sax said...

3-0 LA through one full

spank said...

Buehler gives up a homerun

Steve Sax said...

Walker Buehler sucks.

Tie game.

Steve Sax said...

Tied at 3 through 2 full. Ugh

Steve Sax said...

Tied at 3 through 2 full. Ugh

spank said...

i feel bad for Buehler

karen said...

I feel sorry for Walker, too. What a gigantic mess this game is so far

Steve Sax said...

We have to use magic dust to get out of the fourth.

Down 4-3

Steve Sax said...

Kike can’t convert. He sucks on both sides tonight

spank said...

BOOOOOO

just had to let that out

spank said...

BOOOOOO

Steve Sax said...

GAME 4

With the Padres and D'backs only 2.5 games back, we field this starting lineup:

Ohtani DH
T Hernandez LF
Freeman 1B
Smith C
Lux 2B
Rojas SS
Heyward RF
Pages CF
K Hernandez who lost us the game yesterday 3B

Flaherty P

spank said...

I'm sick and tired of all the platooning and moving players around different positions. the Dodgers are a team of utility players.

karen said...

No Mookie

karen said...

Finally RIP for Matthew Perry as 5 arrests a made including 2 doctors, his live-in personal assistant and a woman known as the Ketamine Queen.

karen said...

First inning and so much pain already.

spank said...

its crazy what the cops will do when your rich and famous

spank said...

my power went out for a couple years hours. just came back on as i was about to call a taxi and head to a bar and gril to watch the game. saved my money

Steve Sax said...

Flaherty gives up three in the first. Dodgers get two back in the second, and it would have been more if not for the black hole at the plate that is Kiké

Steve Sax said...

3-3 on the Lux rbi single

Steve Sax said...

I am so tired of watching Kiké marvel at his fly balls that land 100' short of the wall. Why didn't we DFA him instead of Rosario?

Top 2: Kiké ends the rally, stranding the tying run at second with a lazy fly ou.

Top 4: Heyward leads off the inning with a single, but Kiké GIDPs to end the inning.

STOP KIKÉ

Steve Sax said...

3-3 tie through 4

Steve Sax said...

Ohtani gets his first hit of the day, a single to lead off the fifth.

Let's see if Teoscar, who has been struggling lately, can actually do something this time

Steve Sax said...

Nope. Teoscar pops out to second.

Steve Sax said...

Teo is now 1-for-15 in this series

Steve Sax said...

WP advances Shohei, so let's see if Freddie can cash this in

Steve Sax said...

Freeman grounds out. Shohei is on third but it won't even matter

Steve Sax said...

Slappy flies out.

Come on, guys. This is pathetic.

Steve Sax said...

Flaherty got two quick outs but walked the light-hitting Joey Ortiz, so now he's back to the top of the order. Turang is 1-for-1 with a double already.

Steve Sax said...

Turang singles. Runners at the corners, and now here's the Brewers' phenom, Jackson Chourio.

Steve Sax said...

Flaherty Ks Chourio! Wow we needed that.

All tied up at 3, through five full

Steve Sax said...

Lux with a leadoff walk in the sixth

Steve Sax said...

Rojas singles. Two on, no out, T6

Steve Sax said...

With Myers on the ropes, Heyward swings at the first pitch and flies to right. Come on, JayHey! One out. Lux advances to third, like it matters.

Steve Sax said...

Pages lines out. Two out.

Steve Sax said...

Here's Kiké. (cries)

Steve Sax said...

Myers lifted for Elvis Peguero.

Steve Sax said...

Holy shit, Kiké actually did something positive. Single scores Lux.

4-3 LA

spank said...

clutch Kiki

Steve Sax said...

Ohtani lines out. We go to the bottom of the sixth

Steve Sax said...

Orel fricking called it! He called Peguero lets his first batter get a hit 50% of the time, and 50% of his inherited runners score. He was right on both counts. Wow

Steve Sax said...

Teoscar singles to lead off the inning. Brewers go to their pen for Bryan Hudson. And he strikes out Freeman and then Contreras throws out Teoscar trying to steal.

Steve Sax said...

Teo though the could steal when the ball got loose, but Contreras still gets him out as Teo was leaning back to first.

But it doesn't matter, Smith flies to right. Slappy is 1-for-4 today.

karen said...

Ohh this doesn't look good

Steve Sax said...

Vesia comes in and is not sharp, walking the first two batters. Ugh.

Steve Sax said...

Big out there, Frelick pops to second. One out.

Steve Sax said...

Vesia can't throw strikes, he's down 3-1 on Joey Ortiz

Steve Sax said...

Vesia gets a very favorable call there to make the count full

Steve Sax said...

He gets Ortiz to fly out to right for the second out. But now here's Turang.

Steve Sax said...

Vesia Ks Turang! Wow we needed that.

Steve Sax said...

4-3 LA through 7 full

Steve Sax said...

That strikeout pitch was very high and outside the zone, too. Wow.

karen said...

@SAXY...I have to rely on you to post scores, the last several times I jinxed it

Steve Sax said...

Top 8: Lux flies to short. One out.

Steve Sax said...

@karen: no worries! But I'm glad to help when I can... I think I can hang for at least a couple more innings...

Steve Sax said...

It's very hot out.

spank said...

leadoff double for the brews

karen said...

@SAXY.....I have to take my grandcat (Jenn's kitty) to the vet at 2:30 so I'll probably miss the end of the game. And, oh yeah, it IS HOT!

spank said...

fucking hell. unbelievable

QuadSevens said...

Getting ugly in the 8th.

karen said...

Maybe it's okay to miss the end of this one

spank said...

bases juiced for brews

spank said...

fuck. tied with a single. bases juiced still no outs

spank said...

5-4 Brews now

QuadSevens said...

Two ground balls off our pitcher. Insane.

spank said...

another fielders choice another run

6-4

karen said...

See, I just mention why I can't say the score and still I jinx it

spank said...

Joe Kelly coming in to give up a homerun

spank said...

@karen....thats how it goes.

Steve Sax said...

Nice of Daniel Hudson to throw this game away for us.

QuadSevens said...

This closer is filthy!

spank said...

weak sauce. BOOOOOO

karen said...

DAMN! I saw the end BOOOOO!!!!

Steve Sax said...

Brutal. We deserve the loss.